Value Investor

Composite of 7 market indicators: stock price momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put/call ratio, junk bond demand, market volatility (VIX), and safe haven demand. 0-25 = Extreme Fear. 25-45 = Fear. 45-55 = Neutral. 55-75 = Greed. 75-100 = Extreme Greed. Extreme fear can signal buying opportunities; extreme greed may signal a correction.

Measures crypto market sentiment using 5 factors: volatility (25%), market momentum/volume (25%), social media (15%), surveys (15%), and Bitcoin dominance + Google trends (20%). Same scale as CNN but for crypto markets. Data from Alternative.me.

Weekly survey of individual investors on their 6-month stock market outlook. Historical averages since 1987: Bullish 37.5%, Neutral 31.5%, Bearish 31.0%. Published every Thursday based on responses collected during the prior week.

Calculated as Bullish% minus Bearish% from the AAII weekly survey. A positive spread means more investors are optimistic; a negative spread means more are pessimistic. This is widely used as a contrarian indicator — historically, deeply negative readings (extreme bearish sentiment, below -20) have often preceded market rallies, while deeply positive readings (extreme bullish sentiment, above +20) have sometimes preceded corrections. The spread shown in the bar chart comes directly from AAII's published data.

Real-money prediction markets where participants wager on future events. Prices reflect crowd-sourced probabilities — e.g., 37% means the market prices a 37% chance. Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) is strongest on economic events: Fed rate decisions, recession odds, CPI, GDP. Polymarket is strongest on crypto, geopolitical, and political events. When both platforms cover the same event, the spread between them can signal information asymmetry. Probabilities below 30% or above 70% are considered high-conviction. These are forward-looking indicators — useful alongside Fear & Greed and AAII as sentiment gauges.